These days, fellow Post editorialist Robert A. George (not Robert “Princeton” George, who is much better paid) is feeling quite smug about having jumped off the Bush bandwagon in, oh, 2004.
Andrew Sullivan, also, has joined the Coalition of the Gloating — independent-ish conservatives who figured out a few months before the rest of us that Bush sorta sucks.
But I’d say: Come off it.
We knew Bush sucked, too, but we went ahead and cast our lot with him anyway. Do I regret it? Honestly, no. I’m not joining any Coalition of the Shamefaced. I voted for Bush, and I’m proud of it.
Why?
Well, a few reasons. But, first and foremost, I believed strongly at the time — and still do — that throwing Bush out would send one message, and one message only, to the radical-Islamic world: Please don’t hurt us, Mr. Terrorist!
Is that fair? Is that logical? Is that a good way to pick a president? Well, I can understand your skepticism. But there are times, there are elections, where the show is more important than the substance. Faced with an enemy that gauges us constantly for weakness, looks to see what makes us cringe and what makes us cower, and then takes any sign of weakness as an invitation to strike — yes, I feel I cast the correct vote, given the choice that faced us as a nation in 2004.
Is Bush doing a good job prosecuting the war in Iraq? Obviously, there have been mistakes. But count me firmly out of the camp that bemoans the lack of troops. In modern American warfare, where the primary concern is force protection and the primary political weakness is the American public’s intolerance of any casualties, I simply don’t believe we’d be in better shape with more targets on the ground and more body bags coming home each week. And as for the even more ludicrous argument that the Bush administration erred by dismantling Saddam’s army — please. If there were anything that could make the situation in Iraq worse, it would have to be a Saddam-loyalist, Sunni-dominated army ready and waiting to overthrow the new government the second the U.S. leaves.
On the home front… Well, my various (and miscellaneous) objections to Bush’s performance in that sphere would surprise no one. Medicare prescription drugs, campaign-finance “reform,” No Child Left Behind, farm subsidies, various tariffs, a new war on indecency, etc. etc. etc. I’m no fan. And, theoretically, if Kerry were president and we still had a Republican Congress, divided government would probably be better, as far as spending.
So, if we’d been voting only on domestic issues last time around, I would have voted for Kerry. Would the Supreme Court nominations have been worse? Yes, clearly. Roberts is still a bit of a question mark, but he’s in the ballpark. As for Miers… I’d pretty much flip a coin between Miers and whomever Kerry would have picked.
But we weren’t voting on domestic issues. We were voting on the question of whether we saw terrorism as effectively a law-enforcement issue (the Kerry view — remember that NYT magazine feature?) or an issue of transforming the despotisms in the Middle East.
I don’t think one has to believe Bush has executed the War on Terror flawlessly. I don’t even think one has to agree with the decision to invade Iraq. One just has to agree, at base, that regime change — however affected — should be the goal throughout much of the Middle East. We’re better off without Saddam. We’ll be better off without Assad. And we’d be better off without the mullahs.
The thing is, the War on Terror argument only works once. We showed that, as a nation, we weren’t going to change horses midstream in 2004, that we weren’t going to be cowed by terror. We stood behind Bush.
Now, however, Bush is going to be gone one way or another. Now, we have to start making some serious decisions about the direction of the Republican Party. Now, we have to choose whether Big Government Conservatism is acceptable — the price of being a “governing majority” — or whether it’s deplorable, a betrayal of everything the conservative movement and the Republican Party are supposed to stand for.
A terrorist attack in the next couple years could change the calculus. No doubt about it. But it would also make it more likely that the Democrats would put up someone who can deal seriously with terrorism, like Hillary. It’s unlikely that the Republicans will once again be blessed with a John Kerry.
Though, in modern times, it seems you never lose elections by underestimating the extremism of the Democratic base. So, I could be very, very wrong.
In a way then, I suppose, continued Democratic stupidity could be the conservative movement’s most fearsome enemy in 2008.
Shudder.
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